Royals at D-backs
Last play · Maikel Garcia flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
Win probability
D-backs100%
KC 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.5% · hold 7.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -140
D-backs favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Loftin. Pavin Smith scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd. (inning 3) — +12% D-backs
8Randal Grichuk hits an inside-the-park home run (5) on a fly ball to right-center field. Blaze Alexander scores.1–7
7James McCann doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.1–5
6Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Freddy Fermin scores. Jonathan India to 2nd.1–4
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Loftin. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Pavin Smith scores.0–4
3Eugenio Suárez singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Loftin. Pavin Smith scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.0–2
3Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Pavin Smith to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
