Reds at Phillies
Last play · Matt McLain pops out to shortstop Trea Turner.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CIN 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 1 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -220
Phillies favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 6) — +31% Phillies
8Kyle Schwarber homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field. Trea Turner scores.1–5
6Alec Bohm homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.1–3
5Edmundo Sosa homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
5Will Benson homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
