Rays at Twins
Last play · Brooks Lee singles on a bunt ground ball to first baseman Yandy Díaz. Byron Buxton scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.
Win probability
Twins100%
TB 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 1 MIN
Rays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores. (inning 6) — +42% Twins
9Brooks Lee singles on a bunt ground ball to first baseman Yandy Díaz. Byron Buxton scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.5–6
6Kody Clemens homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores.5–5
6Royce Lewis singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Carlos Correa scores. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd.5–2
6Chandler Simpson flies into a sacrifice double play, left fielder Harrison Bader to shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Kody Clemens to second baseman Willi Castro. Jake Mangum scores. Taylor Walls out at 2nd.5–1
5Junior Caminero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Danny Jansen scores.4–1
5Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. Chandler Simpson scores.3–1
4Josh Lowe doubles (10) on a ground ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Jonathan Aranda scores.2–1
3Danny Jansen doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Chandler Simpson scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
