Cardinals at Cubs
Last play · Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
STL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 2 CHC
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 49% · hold 6.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -170
Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yohel Pozo homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Lars Nootbaar scores. Nolan Gorman scores. (inning 8) — -47% Cardinals
8Seiya Suzuki doubles (21) on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Kyle Tucker scores.8–6
8Yohel Pozo homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Lars Nootbaar scores. Nolan Gorman scores.8–5
8Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Thomas Saggese scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd.5–5
8Alec Burleson homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.4–5
7Carson Kelly homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.3–5
6Matt Shaw grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras.3–4
6Nico Hoerner singles on a fly ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Carson Kelly scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.3–3
4Ian Happ grounds out, third baseman Thomas Saggese to first baseman Willson Contreras. Nico Hoerner scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
