Red Sox at Nationals
Last play · Jacob Young called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals0%
BOS 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 9 – 2 WSH
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / -105
Nationals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Romy Gonzalez doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Nate Eaton scores. (inning 1) — -12% Red Sox
8Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Abraham Toro scores. Ceddanne Rafaela out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Daylen Lile to shortstop CJ Abrams.10–3
6Josh Bell singles on a ground ball to right fielder Roman Anthony. Nathaniel Lowe scores.9–3
4Keibert Ruiz grounds into a force out, first baseman Abraham Toro to shortstop Trevor Story. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Josh Bell to 3rd. Daylen Lile out at 2nd. Keibert Ruiz to 1st.9–2
3Luis García Jr. grounds into a double play, first baseman Abraham Toro to shortstop Trevor Story. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood out at 2nd. Luis García Jr. out at 1st.9–1
3Romy Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Nate Eaton scores.9–0
3Ceddanne Rafaela homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Abraham Toro scores.8–0
3Abraham Toro reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Mitchell Parker. Jarren Duran scores.6–0
3Jarren Duran triples (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Rob Refsnyder scores. Trevor Story scores.5–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
