Brewers at Marlins
Last play · Jesús Sánchez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
MIL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 1 MIA
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -125
Marlins favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Christian Yelich scores. (inning 3) — -26% Brewers
8Jackson Chourio out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras to 2nd.3–1
5Heriberto Hernández homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3Jackson Chourio homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Christian Yelich scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
