Rays at Twins
TB7–
MIN5Last play · Brooks Lee grounds out, second baseman José Caballero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Twins0%
TB 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 1 MIN
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Harrison Bader homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Willi Castro scores. (inning 8) — +44% Twins
10Harrison Bader grounds out, second baseman José Caballero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Byron Buxton scores.7–5
10Junior Caminero out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Harrison Bader. José Caballero scores.7–4
10José Caballero hits a sacrifice bunt. Throwing error by pitcher Justin Topa. Yandy Díaz scores. José Caballero to 3rd.6–4
10Yandy Díaz doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Danny Jansen scores.5–4
8Harrison Bader homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Willi Castro scores.4–4
8Jonathan Aranda singles on a soft ground ball to shortstop Carlos Correa, deflected by pitcher Griffin Jax. Yandy Díaz scores. Junior Caminero to 2nd.4–2
8Junior Caminero reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by catcher Christian Vázquez. Christopher Morel scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd.3–2
6Rays challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Brooks Lee reaches on a fielding error by second baseman José Caballero. Trevor Larnach scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.