Cardinals at Cubs
STL0–
CHC11Last play · Lars Nootbaar flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
Win probability
Cubs100%
STL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 11 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -220
Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Hampson. Nico Hoerner scores. Matt Shaw scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. (inning 2) — +16% Cubs
5Seiya Suzuki homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.0–11
4Reese McGuire grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras. Nico Hoerner scores.0–10
4Nico Hoerner triples (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Dansby Swanson scores.0–9
3Seiya Suzuki doubles (22) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Matt Shaw scores.0–8
3Kyle Tucker out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Garrett Hampson. Reese McGuire scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd.0–7
3Ian Happ grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras. Nico Hoerner scores. Reese McGuire to 3rd. Matt Shaw to 2nd.0–6
3Matt Shaw reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Thomas Saggese. Dansby Swanson scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Reese McGuire to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Thomas Saggese.0–5
3Reese McGuire singles on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Michael Busch scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.