Royals at D-backs
Last play · Eugenio Suárez flies out sharply to right fielder Tyler Tolbert.
Win probability
D-backs0%
KC 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 0 AZ
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
D-backs favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -14% Royals
5Kyle Isbel singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nick Loftin scores. John Rave to 2nd.4–0
5John Rave singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jac Caglianone scores. Nick Loftin to 3rd.3–0
4Salvador Perez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
4Bobby Witt Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
