Reds at Phillies
Last play · TJ Friedl flies out to left fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CIN 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 1 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.4% · hold 6.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -250
Phillies favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. J.T. Realmuto scores. (inning 8) — +34% Phillies
8Bryson Stott homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. J.T. Realmuto scores.1–3
5Kyle Schwarber doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Brandon Marsh scores.1–1
5Austin Hays homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
