Yankees at Mets
Last play · Francisco Lindor strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
NYY 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 5 – 2 NYM
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.4% · hold 6.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-220 / +160
Mets favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — -18% Yankees
7Aaron Judge out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Starling Marte. Paul Goldschmidt scores.6–4
6Hayden Senger grounds into a double play, shortstop Anthony Volpe to second baseman DJ LeMahieu to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Ronny Mauricio scores. Brett Baty to 3rd. Jeff McNeil out at 2nd. Hayden Senger out at 1st.5–4
6Jeff McNeil singles on a ground ball to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, deflected by pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga. Brandon Nimmo scores. Ronny Mauricio to 3rd. Brett Baty to 2nd.5–3
5Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jeff McNeil scores. Hayden Senger scores. Starling Marte to 2nd.5–2
5Aaron Judge homers (33) on a fly ball to center field. Paul Goldschmidt scores.5–0
4Austin Wells grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Anthony Volpe scores. DJ LeMahieu out at 2nd. Austin Wells to 1st.3–0
4Anthony Volpe grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Cody Bellinger out at 2nd. Anthony Volpe to 1st.2–0
3Austin Wells homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
