Red Sox at Nationals
Last play · CJ Abrams flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Nationals0%
BOS 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 2 WSH
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-225 / +185
Nationals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Rob Refsnyder scores. (inning 1) — -16% Red Sox
9Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to right fielder Roman Anthony. Brady House scores.6–4
9Ceddanne Rafaela homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
7Luis García Jr. walks. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Josh Bell to 3rd. Riley Adams to 2nd.5–3
7Romy Gonzalez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alex Call. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.5–2
3Brady House singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Paul DeJong scores. Josh Bell to 2nd.4–2
3Paul DeJong doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Amed Rosario scores.4–1
1Trevor Story homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Rob Refsnyder scores.4–0
1Rob Refsnyder doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Roman Anthony scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
