Pirates at Mariners
Last play · Tommy Pham grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Luke Raley.
Win probability
Mariners100%
PIT 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 0 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -125
Mariners favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +20% Mariners
6Randy Arozarena homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
