Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Masataka Yoshida grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BOS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Giancarlo Stanton scores. (inning 2) — +20% Yankees
8Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field. Paul Goldschmidt scores.2–7
6Nathaniel Lowe singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Romy Gonzalez scores. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.2–5
5Trent Grisham homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.0–5
4José Caballero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nate Eaton. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Ryan McMahon to 2nd.0–4
3Trent Grisham homers (24) on a fly ball to right field.0–3
2Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Giancarlo Stanton scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
