Blue Jays at Marlins
Last play · Davis Schneider pops out to second baseman Xavier Edwards.
Win probability
Marlins100%
TOR 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 4 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Marlins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Bo Bichette scores. Ty France scores. (inning 7) — -24% Blue Jays
7Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jakob Marsee scores.3–5
7Daulton Varsho homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Bo Bichette scores. Ty France scores.3–4
5Jakob Marsee triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Eric Wagaman scores. Javier Sanoja scores. Xavier Edwards scores.0–4
3Eric Wagaman homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
