Cardinals at Rays
Last play · Yohel Pozo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
STL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 5 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Rays favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Junior Caminero hits a grand slam (37) to right field. Josh Lowe scores. Carson Williams scores. Chandler Simpson scores. (inning 5) — +22% Rays
9Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Everson Pereira. Alec Burleson scores.2–7
7Jordan Walker singles on a fly ball to center fielder Everson Pereira. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.1–7
6Chandler Simpson triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Carson Williams scores. Nick Fortes scores.0–7
5Junior Caminero hits a grand slam (37) to right field. Josh Lowe scores. Carson Williams scores. Chandler Simpson scores.0–5
4Christopher Morel homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
