Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Luis Vázquez flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 3 BAL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Connor Wong scores. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 5) — -41% Red Sox
5Jarren Duran homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Connor Wong scores. Roman Anthony scores.4–3
3Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Coby Mayo to 3rd.1–3
2Colton Cowser homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Roman Anthony homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
