Braves at Marlins
Last play · Ozzie Albies grounds out, third baseman Maximo Acosta to first baseman Liam Hicks.
Win probability
Marlins100%
ATL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Troy Johnston doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 5) — +15% Marlins
9Drake Baldwin homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
8Maximo Acosta homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
5Troy Johnston doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Otto Lopez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
