Phillies at Mets
Last play · Trea Turner grounds out, second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 3) — -21% Phillies
8Luis Torrens singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Tyrone Taylor scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.3–13
8Jeff McNeil singles on a ground ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Brett Baty scores. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.3–12
8Tyrone Taylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Starling Marte scores. Brett Baty to 2nd.3–11
7Luis Torrens homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–10
7Jeff McNeil out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Max Kepler. Brett Baty scores.3–7
6Starling Marte singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Luis Torrens scores. Juan Soto to 2nd.3–6
6Luis Torrens doubles (12) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–5
5Mark Vientos doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Juan Soto scores. Starling Marte to 3rd.3–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
