Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Alec Burleson homers (16) on a line drive to center field.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 6 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ronny Simon doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Liover Peguero scores. (inning 9) — -38% Pirates
9Alec Burleson homers (16) on a line drive to center field.6–7
9Ronny Simon doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Liover Peguero scores.6–6
7Nick Gonzales out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Jack Suwinski scores. Joey Bart to 3rd.5–6
5Thomas Saggese singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Nolan Gorman scores.4–6
5Nolan Gorman doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Willson Contreras scores.4–5
5Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski, deflected by second baseman Nick Gonzales. Masyn Winn scores. Alec Burleson scores.4–4
5Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to third baseman Jared Triolo. Nathan Church scores.4–2
3Spencer Horwitz homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
