Phillies at Mets
Last play · Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Starling Marte scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Brett Baty to 2nd.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 5 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Harrison Bader homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 8) — -34% Phillies
9Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Starling Marte scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Brett Baty to 2nd.5–6
8Harrison Bader homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Nick Castellanos scores.5–5
6Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Alec Bohm scores.3–5
5Brandon Nimmo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Pete Alonso scores.2–5
5Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Starling Marte scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd.2–4
5Pete Alonso doubles (33) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto scores. Starling Marte to 3rd.2–3
5Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Luis Torrens scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd. Throwing error by center fielder Harrison Bader.2–1
5Bryce Harper singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Weston Wilson scores. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
