Rays at Guardians
Last play · Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TB 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Guardians favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Josh Lowe. CJ Kayfus scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. (inning 1) — +9% Guardians
1Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Kyle Manzardo scores. David Fry to 3rd.0–3
1Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Josh Lowe. CJ Kayfus scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.0–2
1Kyle Manzardo singles on a ground ball to shortstop Carson Williams, deflected by first baseman Yandy Díaz. Steven Kwan scores. CJ Kayfus to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
