Twins at Blue Jays
Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. flies out to right fielder Matt Wallner.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
MIN 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Wallner homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Martin scores. Brooks Lee scores. (inning 9) — -47% Twins
9Daulton Varsho doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. George Springer scores.7–5
9Matt Wallner homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Martin scores. Brooks Lee scores.7–4
9Mickey Gasper homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–4
7Brooks Lee flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Addison Barger to second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Bo Bichette. Mickey Gasper scores. Austin Martin out at 2nd.3–4
6Luke Keaschall homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Brooks Lee scores.2–4
5George Springer homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
2George Springer homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3
1Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Nathan Lukes scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
