Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Coby Mayo called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 1 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 9) — -71% Red Sox
9Ceddanne Rafaela homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores.3–2
7Dylan Carlson doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Dylan Beavers scores.1–2
2Dylan Beavers doubles (4) on a fly ball to shortstop Trevor Story, deflected by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Coby Mayo scores.1–1
1Roman Anthony homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
