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Red Sox at Orioles

BOS3BAL2
Final
Inn123456789RHE
BOS100000002371
BAL010000100250
Last play · Coby Mayo called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
BOS 11 BAL
Tied through 5
Inning 1: Roman Anthony homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 2: Dylan Beavers doubles (4) on a fly ball to shortstop Trevor Story, deflected by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Coby Mayo scores.Inning 7: Dylan Carlson doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Dylan Beavers scores.Inning 9: Ceddanne Rafaela homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores.
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 9) — -71% Red Sox

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.