Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Masyn Winn flies out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
PIT 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 8 – 2 STL
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew McCutchen singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd. (inning 1) — -16% Pirates
6Willson Contreras grounds out, third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Lars Nootbaar scores.8–3
4Nolan Gorman homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Willson Contreras scores.8–2
3Henry Davis homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.8–0
2Oneil Cruz grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras. Bryan Reynolds scores.7–0
2Bryan Reynolds doubles (34) on a fly ball to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Lars Nootbaar.6–0
1Henry Davis out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Andrew McCutchen scores.5–0
1Jack Suwinski hits a ground-rule double (4) on a line drive down the left-field line. Oneil Cruz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.4–0
1Andrew McCutchen singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
