Cubs at Giants
Last play · Owen Caissie strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
CHC 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Giants favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Wilmer Flores scores. (inning 6) — +17% Giants
6Matt Chapman homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Wilmer Flores scores.2–5
5Rafael Devers singles on a fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ, deflected by shortstop Dansby Swanson. Heliot Ramos scores.2–3
5Heliot Ramos doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Luis Matos scores.2–2
5Carson Kelly singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luis Matos. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.2–1
4Matt Shaw singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Ian Happ scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.1–1
2Wilmer Flores homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
