Rockies at Astros
Last play · Warming Bernabel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
COL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 1 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Astros favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cam Smith homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — +18% Astros
8Yordan Alvarez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Jeremy Peña scores.0–4
7Cam Smith homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Jesús Sánchez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Yordan Alvarez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
