Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Pedro Pagés grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
PIT 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 1 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Jared Triolo scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd. (inning 6) — -31% Pirates
6Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Jared Triolo scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.2–1
2Pedro Pagés singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Masyn Winn scores. Thomas Saggese out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Bryan Reynolds to first baseman Spencer Horwitz to third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
