Twins at Blue Jays
Last play · Brooks Lee grounds out, first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to pitcher Jeff Hoffman.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
MIN 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 8 – 5 TOR
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Addison Barger doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Alejandro Kirk scores. George Springer scores. (inning 8) — +61% Blue Jays
8Addison Barger doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Alejandro Kirk scores. George Springer scores.8–9
8Ty France homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.8–7
6Andrés Giménez doubles (8) on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Davis Schneider scores. Nathan Lukes to 3rd.8–6
5Royce Lewis singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Kody Clemens scores.8–5
5Brooks Lee homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.7–5
4Andrés Giménez homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.6–5
4Davis Schneider homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.6–4
4Ryan Jeffers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider. Byron Buxton scores. Ryan Jeffers out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Davis Schneider to third baseman Addison Barger to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to second baseman Andrés Giménez.6–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
