Phillies at Mets
Last play · J.T. Realmuto pops out to second baseman Jeff McNeil.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Hayden Senger scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. (inning 3) — +12% Mets
7Mark Vientos homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–6
5Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.0–4
3Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler, deflected by third baseman Alec Bohm. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.0–3
3Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Hayden Senger scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd.0–2
3Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Brett Baty scores. Hayden Senger to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
