Braves at Marlins
Last play · Dane Myers grounds out, shortstop Vidal Bruján to first baseman Eli White.
Win probability
Marlins0%
ATL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 9 – 1 MIA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Jurickson Profar scores. (inning 3) — -21% Braves
7Jurickson Profar homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.12–1
6Michael Harris II homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Drake Baldwin scores.11–1
5Derek Hill doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Liam Hicks scores.9–1
4Michael Harris II singles on a line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Ozzie Albies scores.9–0
4Ozzie Albies singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jurickson Profar scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Ozzie Albies to 2nd.8–0
3Ozzie Albies homers (13) on a line drive to right field. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin scores.6–0
3Matt Olson homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Jurickson Profar scores.3–0
1Jurickson Profar homers (11) on a line drive to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
