Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Jeremiah Jackson flies out sharply to center fielder Nate Eaton.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 2 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-205 / +170
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Romy Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 8) — -26% Red Sox
8Romy Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Roman Anthony scores.3–2
5Jeremiah Jackson doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Jhostynxon Garcia. Alex Jackson scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd.2–2
4Rob Refsnyder homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
3Alex Jackson homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Trevor Story homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
