Padres at Mariners
Last play · Ramón Laureano grounds out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Mariners100%
SD 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Mariners favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez homers (42) on a fly ball to left center field. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 4) — +21% Mariners
9Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jake Cronenworth scores.3–4
6Jake Cronenworth hit by pitch. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.2–4
6Gavin Sheets singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Ramón Laureano scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.1–4
4Eugenio Suárez homers (42) on a fly ball to left center field. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor scores.0–4
2Luke Raley doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Eugenio Suárez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
