Braves at Phillies
Last play · Nick Allen pops out to shortstop Edmundo Sosa.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 15 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.T. Realmuto homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 1) — +24% Phillies
8Edmundo Sosa singles on a line drive to left fielder Eli White. Max Kepler scores. Harrison Bader to 2nd.4–19
7Kyle Schwarber homers (49) on a fly ball to right field. Harrison Bader scores. Edmundo Sosa scores.4–18
6Matt Olson homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.4–15
5Kyle Schwarber homers (48) on a fly ball to left center field. Harrison Bader scores. Trea Turner scores.3–15
4Alec Bohm doubles (15) on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Bryce Harper scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.3–12
4Kyle Schwarber homers (47) on a fly ball to right field. Trea Turner scores.3–10
4Trea Turner doubles (29) on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Bryson Stott scores.3–8
4Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Harrison Bader scores.3–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
