Marlins at Mets
Last play · Juan Soto grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Liam Hicks.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIA 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 4 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+215 / -265
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (30) on a fly ball to center field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 5) — +29% Mets
7Heriberto Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Agustín Ramírez scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.7–4
7Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jeff McNeil. Liam Hicks scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd.6–4
7Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jakob Marsee scores. Liam Hicks to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Brandon Nimmo.5–4
5Pete Alonso homers (30) on a fly ball to center field. Juan Soto scores.4–4
3Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Troy Johnston scores.4–2
3Troy Johnston reaches on a missed catch error by pitcher Clay Holmes, assist to first baseman Pete Alonso. Liam Hicks scores. Troy Johnston to 2nd.3–2
3Liam Hicks reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jeff McNeil. Xavier Edwards scores.2–2
1Brandon Nimmo doubles (24) on a ground ball to right fielder Dane Myers. Francisco Lindor scores. Pete Alonso scores.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
