Cubs at Giants
Last play · Matt Shaw grounds out, third baseman Casey Schmitt to first baseman Dominic Smith.
Win probability
Giants100%
CHC 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 7 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Giants favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Dansby Swanson scores. (inning 2) — -34% Cubs
8Heliot Ramos homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.3–12
7Matt Chapman homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.3–11
6Rafael Devers homers (27) on a line drive to left center field. Andrew Knizner scores. Heliot Ramos scores.3–10
5Casey Schmitt singles on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Matt Chapman scores.3–7
5Matt Chapman singles on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Rafael Devers scores. Dominic Smith scores. Matt Chapman to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Kyle Tucker.3–6
3Dominic Smith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Rafael Devers scores.3–4
3Willy Adames out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Heliot Ramos scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.3–3
3Rafael Devers hits a ground-rule double (29) on a line drive to right-center field. Andrew Knizner scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
