Rockies at Astros
Last play · Jordan Beck called out on strikes.
Win probability
Astros100%
COL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 3 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Astros favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +38% Astros
8Christian Walker homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
5Yanquiel Fernández homers (2) on a line drive to right center field.3–3
4Ezequiel Tovar homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
3Mickey Moniak grounds into a force out, second baseman Ramón Urías to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Braxton Fulford scores. Yanquiel Fernández to 3rd. Tyler Freeman out at 2nd. Mickey Moniak to 1st.1–3
2César Salazar singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Kyle Freeland. Mauricio Dubón scores. Chas McCormick to 3rd. César Salazar to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Kyle Freeland.0–3
1Christian Walker homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Jose Altuve homers (23) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
