Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Isiah Kiner-Falefa pops out to second baseman Thomas Saggese.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Thomas Saggese doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 7) — +21% Cardinals
7Jordan Walker homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Thomas Saggese scores.1–4
7Thomas Saggese doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Masyn Winn scores.1–2
3Iván Herrera doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Lars Nootbaar scores. Iván Herrera out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Tommy Pham to shortstop Liover Peguero to second baseman Nick Gonzales to third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.1–1
1Tommy Pham homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
