Braves at Phillies
Last play · Matt Olson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 1 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 8) — +29% Phillies
8Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Kyle Schwarber scores.1–2
4Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 2nd.1–1
2Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Sean Murphy scores. Nick Allen to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
