Cardinals at Reds
Last play · Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
STL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 4 – 2 CIN
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Reds favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — +35% Reds
10Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.7–5
10Willson Contreras reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Nathan Church scores.6–5
8Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.5–5
8Masyn Winn doubles (27) on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Garrett Hampson scores.5–4
7Miguel Andujar singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Elly De La Cruz scores.4–4
6Spencer Steer homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
3Masyn Winn singles on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Iván Herrera scores. Willson Contreras to 3rd. Nolan Gorman to 2nd.4–2
2Pedro Pagés homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Thomas Saggese scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
