Pirates at Red Sox
Last play · Connor Wong pops out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz in foul territory.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
PIT 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Red Sox favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Pham doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Nick Gonzales scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 6) — -31% Pirates
8Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Henry Davis hits a sacrifice bunt. Ronny Simon scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd. Henry Davis to 1st.4–2
6Andrew McCutchen doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Tommy Pham scores.3–2
6Tommy Pham doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Nick Gonzales scores. Bryan Reynolds scores.2–2
5Roman Anthony homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
4Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Masataka Yoshida scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd. Ceddanne Rafaela to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
