Brewers at Blue Jays
Last play · Nathan Lukes grounds out, shortstop Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
MIL 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andruw Monasterio homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — -22% Brewers
7Davis Schneider singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Bo Bichette scores. Myles Straw scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd.7–2
7Andrew Vaughn singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. William Contreras scores.7–0
7Christian Yelich grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Brice Turang scores.6–0
6Isaac Collins doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Andrew Vaughn scores. Caleb Durbin scores.5–0
6Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Christian Yelich scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.3–0
6Andrew Vaughn singles on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Brice Turang scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.2–0
6Andruw Monasterio homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
