Padres at Twins
Last play · Fernando Tatis Jr. flies out to right fielder James Outman.
Win probability
Twins100%
SD 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 7 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Twins favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens reaches on a fielder's choice. Matt Wallner scores. Austin Martin scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd. Fielding error by second baseman Jake Cronenworth. (inning 4) — +30% Twins
7Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Gavin Sheets scores. Jose Iglesias scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.4–7
5Byron Buxton singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Kody Clemens scores. Trevor Larnach to 2nd.2–7
5Royce Lewis homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.2–6
4Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ramón Laureano. Royce Lewis scores. Kody Clemens scores.2–5
4Kody Clemens reaches on a fielder's choice. Matt Wallner scores. Austin Martin scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd. Fielding error by second baseman Jake Cronenworth.2–3
4Jose Iglesias singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Gavin Sheets scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd. Jose Iglesias advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by right fielder Matt Wallner.2–1
3Byron Buxton grounds into a force out, shortstop Jose Iglesias to second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Kody Clemens scores. Trevor Larnach out at 2nd. Byron Buxton to 1st.1–1
3Luis Arraez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Martin. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
