Tigers at Royals
Last play · Bobby Witt Jr. flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
Win probability
Royals0%
DET 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 3 KC
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Gleyber Torres scores. Kerry Carpenter scores. (inning 4) — -26% Tigers
8Dillon Dingler homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
4Riley Greene doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Gleyber Torres scores. Kerry Carpenter scores.4–3
2Kerry Carpenter singles on a line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Javier Báez scores. Colt Keith scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.2–3
1Maikel Garcia homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–3
1Mike Yastrzemski homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
