Braves at Phillies
Last play · Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. (inning 10) — +39% Phillies
10Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.2–3
10Nacho Alvarez Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jake Fraley scores.2–1
6Matt Olson doubles (36) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Jurickson Profar scores.1–1
3Weston Wilson homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
