Angels at Astros
Last play · Cam Smith flies out sharply to center fielder Jo Adell.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 1 HOU
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oswald Peraza singles on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Luis Rengifo scores. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Matthew Lugo to 3rd. Oswald Peraza to 2nd. (inning 9) — -41% Angels
9Mike Trout walks. Matthew Lugo scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd. Yoán Moncada to 2nd.4–1
9Oswald Peraza singles on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Luis Rengifo scores. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Matthew Lugo to 3rd. Oswald Peraza to 2nd.3–1
3Jesús Sánchez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Luis Rengifo. Jeremy Peña scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.1–1
3Zach Neto homers (24) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
