Yankees at White Sox
Last play · Edgar Quero strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
NYY 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 1 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-200 / +165
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger singles on a fly ball to left fielder Will Robertson. Trent Grisham scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd. (inning 11) — -26% Yankees
11Will Robertson grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Colson Montgomery scores.5–3
11Anthony Volpe doubles (28) on a fly ball to right fielder Michael A. Taylor. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Austin Wells to 3rd.5–2
11Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Will Robertson. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.4–2
11Cody Bellinger singles on a fly ball to left fielder Will Robertson. Trent Grisham scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd.3–2
7Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Curtis Mead scores.2–2
7Austin Wells homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
5Mike Tauchman singles on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Curtis Mead scores.1–1
4Aaron Judge homers (42) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
