Tigers at Royals
Last play · Dillon Dingler flies out to right fielder Randal Grichuk.
Win probability
Royals100%
DET 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Tolbert scores. (inning 8) — +34% Royals
8Bobby Witt Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Tolbert scores.1–3
4Maikel Garcia homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
3Gleyber Torres singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Trey Sweeney scores. Andy Ibáñez to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
