Brewers at Blue Jays
Last play · Alejandro Kirk grounds into a double play, shortstop Andruw Monasterio to second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Bo Bichette out at 2nd. Alejandro Kirk out at 1st.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
MIL 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 9) — -46% Brewers
9Isaac Collins doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider. Sal Frelick scores.4–1
9Christian Yelich homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
9Jackson Chourio homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
7Sal Frelick grounds out to pitcher Kevin Gausman. Christian Yelich scores.1–1
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Chourio. George Springer scores. Addison Barger to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
