Cubs at Rockies
Last play · Kyle Karros strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies0%
CHC 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 1 COL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-265 / +215
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Mickey Moniak scores. (inning 6) — +16% Rockies
6Hunter Goodman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Mickey Moniak scores.4–3
6Mickey Moniak triples (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Tyler Freeman scores.4–2
6Kyle Tucker singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Michael Busch scores.4–1
5Carson Kelly out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Seiya Suzuki scores.3–1
5Ian Happ doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.2–1
2Yanquiel Fernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Warming Bernabel scores. Yanquiel Fernández out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Kyle Tucker to shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch to second baseman Nico Hoerner.1–1
1Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
